Is a White Christmas Guaranteed
I have to admit a bit of pity for the poor television weather reporter this morning who was being pushed and encouraged to predict the weather - not for today, nor tomorrow or even the week ahead but for the weather on Christmas day- ten days away.
Given the accuracy of current forecasting and the variable and changing climate it was little surprise that he managed to avoid the question rather then set himself up to be pillared next week when his- lucky guess- would be mocked. It is amazing that given the fact that we can send a probe to the moon- or at least the Chinese still can- and we have powerful computers to work on building models that can predict the future of a drug or medicine- that we still cannot plug in the variables today and find a matching weather pattern ion the past which will allow us to plan ahead.
Anyway I suppose thats what makes each day different- as I show guests round Eriska and take them into our new sports hall I often remark that it is our answer to predicting the weather tomorrow and indeed whilst it is not the heaviest used facility it does give everybody the opportunity of a game of tennis or badminton whatever the weather outside and whatever the time of year. the latter point is extremely important at this time of year as we approach the shortest day next week and the nights close in- at least by this time next week the days will be starting to get longer and summer will be closer well at least spring will be closer!
So what really is ahead for this week given our experience of the weather forecast over the last 40 years of being here at Eriska?
Today:having had a particularly wet and windy week it looks set to continue today although we have woken to a dry and bright morning it is not set to last!
Monday: Rain spreading east after a bright start. Windy.
Tuesday: Bright start with some sunshine, then clouds increasing with rain spreading by midday, reaching the area during the afternoon, with some heavy bursts. Southerly winds strengthening, gales over the Isles.
Wednesday: Any rain soon clearing then mainly dry with clear spells for a time then clouding over with showers later. Windy at times.
Thursday: Sunny spells and blustery showers, most frequent on the higher grounds , some heavy with hail and thunder, wintry over higher ground.
Friday: Sunny spells and showers then windy with outbreaks of rain overnight
Saturday: Turning much colder with snow showers and severe gales over the weekend