Weather forecasts are not always right!
You can understand how after last weeks storms and winds when the forecaster on television prepares us for "substantial rain on the west coast" we start getting our wellies on and gaze to the heavens. However with the mild weather and calm conditions outside it is as ever difficult to believe what the forecasters tell us- until it is too late!
Sometimes we must wonder how we managed before we had wall to wall satellite coverage to keep us up to date on climate and weather forecasts but in reality were we ever any worse off than when we simply stood outside felt the breeze, looked at the clouds and put on an extra jacket or wore a wide brimmed sun hat- probably not! Anyway what do we thing is ahead for this week?
Today: Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, some heavy, especially over higher ground as the rain pushes in from the west.
Monday: A generally cloudy day with occasional rain, but becoming heavier and more persistent in morning and spreading across the mountains where rain will also be heavy at times in the afternoon.
Tuesday: A wet end to the day, but the rain will gradually become lighter and more patchy through the night. Staying mild and breezy.
Wednesday: Generally cloudy with outbreaks of rain at first but mostly dying out in the morning with brighter conditions developing and a little sunshine in the afternoon. Still mild and breezy.
Thursday: Mainly dry and bright with some sunshine at times, but also rather cloudy.
Friday: Some rain at times but still remarkably mild with south or southwesterly winds.
Saturday:It will be mostly cloudy with rain, locally heavy, accompanied by strong winds and gales through the night into Sunday.
How times have changed over 40 years!
When I was talking with some guests last night and reminiscing on years gone by they mentioned that they had always enjoyed discussions with my father. In particular they remembered him circulating the diningroom at breakfasts and giving his weather forecast for the day ahead. Oh how times have changed as today we simply print out a forecast form the BBC and place it on every bodies breakfast table. There are however three reasons for this- firstly I am not as good a forecaster as my father and would inevitably get it wrong, secondly we believe guests are slightly more reserved and would prefer to find the forecast in their own time and finally there are more interesting things to both tell guests about the area and about the world than simply Eriska's forecast and now with the plethora of indoor non weather dependent facilities on site there is less importance on the day ahead and the potential weather.
So why- I hear you ask- do we continue to forecast the weather ahead- again it is good for those who area bout to visit us to grasp what clothes to bring and what to expect, and it keeps those who like to know what we are up to up to date with all on Eriska. Like last week when heavy gales were reported on the west coast we can assure you that the wind lasted strongly for about an hour and then passed and the rain was as predicted by our forecast as nothing more than expected for this time of year.
So what can we expect for the first week of December?
Today:As I walked down the hill today it was remakably mild, the wind had dissappeared and the sky seems clear so the rest of the day should remain dry with some sunshine.
Monday: A mainly dry bright day with variable cloud amounts but this breaking to allow some sunny intervals, best across coastal hills
Tuesday: Mainly dry with some bright or sunny spells. It will be cloudy over northern hills with more persistent rain later. Freshening southwesterly winds.
Wednesday: Cloudy with outbreaks of rain with stronger winds pushing in and brining the temperature down
Thursday: Drier, brighter but colder .
Friday: Again windy with rain, turning to snow, especially on higher ground, before clearing later in the day.
Saturday:A band of rain will spread southwards during the weekend giving snow over high ground but clearer, colder and windy conditions will follow from the northwest with showers, these falling as snow.
The festive season is almost upon us and at least we are thinking about the festive period given the celebration across the pond of Thanksgiving- well at least it gives us an excuse to trial run the Roast Turkey on the trolley and get us thinking of cranberry sauce and roaring log fires. So after a week of colder conditions should we expect snow and ice or mild and warm conditions this week?
Today: After a cold night it will be clear skies so dry with some sunny or clear intervals.
Monday: A dry day with variable cloud and some sunny spells though some pockets of freezing fog may last well into the morning. Frost at first and returning to some areas soon after dark.
Tuesday: Dry with variable cloud and some clear spells. These will lead to a touch of frost especially in glens
Wednesday: A dry bright day with some sunny spells, though with a few freezing fog patches lingering into the day. Perhaps some light showers over higher hills.
Thursday: Cloudier with some rain for a time, turning milder and breezy. Mainly dry though some patchy rain is likely in the evening.
Friday: Strong winds and rain will push in through Friday, with colder air and blustery showers following, some of which will be wintry in the north.
Saturday: Through the weekend, most areas will remain dry with variable cloud and sunny spells by day, and frost and fog by night.
The countdown to Christmas seems upon us.
However it is still over 4 weeks till the shortest day and the depth of winter so it is good to see that is still quite mild although I suspect that is about to change. The majority of the leaves are off the trees and we are certainly through the worst of the leave clearance. It is also a wee window for us to start cutting back paths and trees with less foilage to clear and still reasonably firm ground to work on.
We have also had a dramatic eduction of work on the golf course with the grass now controlling itself and the winter works program underway which we have to balance progress with potentail damage to the course as the water table certainly rises and the sraisn have to work hard to keep the course playable. So will this week be a week of work on course or a week of work off the course?
Today: After a cold start to the night the cloud cover has brought up the temperature and it is now a dry and bright morning but will begin clouding over with rain tonight.
Monday: A mainly dry bright morning with some sunshine after the clearance of early fog and frost. Clouding over during the afternoon with outbreaks of light developing towards the west coast by dusk.
Tuesday: Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, this rain becoming persistent and heavy at times
Wednesday:Cold and sunny with wintry showers, these mainly across higher hills with a chance of rain or snow.
Thursday: Another cold night will give way to mostly dry and bright weather at first but with scattered showers
Friday:A cold night with dawn greeted with showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, maybe giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps even to lower levels at times.
Saturday: Slightly more mild with dry conditions and a light breeze ushering in a more settled period of weather for the last week of November
Every day is different, every view different, every sight different- Simply- it's the West Highlands of Scotland!
This could not be more true than this weekend - yesterday torrential rain with a modest respite in the afternoon and today wall to wall blue skies, snow crisply lying on the mountain tops sparkling in the sunshine and not a breath of wind. Anyway whilst it is one of the problems with living here it is is also the reason why we choose to be here as every morning is different, every dawn unique and every sunset- or not as the case may be- one on its own!.
So what is differnt about the week ahead:
Today: After a cold and frost start it will be a stunner- No more need be said!
Monday: It cant last for ever so warmer night as cloud rolls in but bringing patchy rain in the morning, becoming drier and brighter.
Tuesday: Outbreaks of rain clearing from the west in the morning to leave a drier afternoon with some sunshine.
Wednesday: Windy with blustery showers leading to even more snow on hills. More wind and rain followed by a risk of gales.
Thursday: After a wet and windy night we will awaken to blustery showers on Thursday, mainly from the west.
Friday:Cloud, rain and strong winds will continue into the weekend
Saturday:It will begin to turn colder and remain unsettled with a mix of cloudy periods and rain or showers, which may be wintry over high ground.
This week marks a stark change in the West Highalnd Seasons
Its often amazing how the climate seems to remain the same and then suddenly overnight we flip into a completely different season. So it has been this week as we started with a mild - if damp - Monday and this was soon followed by torrential rain- stories of 6 inches falling in 45 minutes do not seem implausible- and strong winds so that today when we awaken - the leaves are off the trees, the temperature is almost 10 degrees lower and the mountains of Kingairloch and Ben Cruachan have white snow caps adorning them- winter is truly here!
Strangley it seems later than usual and this woudl not be a surprise as the summer seemed to continue longer than normal and this has pushed autumn into November. The Deer Rut and stalking was certainly later and whilst I am hearing stories of a great month on the mountains with fantastic images of Rutting Stags it does play havoc with my plans for collecting leaves in October and we still have a lot of raking and burning to do now to get tideied up for Christmas
It is one of the stregnths of Scotland the ever changing weather and certainly one of te attractions compared with places that never seem to alter seasons- fortunately its one which we appreciate even if its also one we seem to continually complain about! So what is in store for this first week of winter!
Today: Bright with sunny spells and scattered showers today although be warned that the showers will be fierce!
Monday: Bright with sunny spells, but also scattered showers, mainly over higher ground at first, but developing further east during the afternoon, perhaps the odd heavy one later over Eriska. Fresh or strong west to northwesterly winds slowly easing.
Tuesday: Showers will become more isolated and confined to coastal areas , with long clear spells inland, leading to fairly widespread frost over rural parts as the winds fall light.
Wednesday: A few showers continuing , otherwise a dry and bright day with lengthy spells of sunshine for most parts. Light west to northwesterly winds.
Thursday: Rain clearing to showers then bright with sunny spells and showers in the evening.
Friday:After a dry night some heavy and prolonged periods of rain. Windy, risk of gales
Saturday:Rain will soon clear leaving clearer but showery weather for most of the weekend. It is likely to stay largely unsettled thereafter with showers or longer spells of rain, locally heavy.
With most of the leaves now off the trees and the wind starting to bring in colder breezes its not hard to believe that winter is just around the corner. However the change of clocks last night at least makes the mornings seem easier even if the down side is that the evenings will start closing in and definately - for us - that will mean that the curtains will be closed even earlier but thats even more of an excuse to snuggle down beside a log fire with a nice book and kind malt to enjoy!
In reality we can look back at tis autumn having been quite kind with a late fall of leaves and then some stronger winds to help them off the trees and make the teams job easier to clear them up and prepare for winter. When I checked my mothers sun machine for the last month it showed that many days had as much sunshine as peak summer and even though it was cooler it was at least dry and bright.
So whats ahead for next week:
Today: Rain at first but soon dying out to clear skies and light winds. Winds then freshen with blustery showers spreading from west,
Monday: Frequent showers, turning squally with heavy rain, or hail and thunder. South becoming southwest winds will reach gale force in showers with surface water and spray making travel difficult.
Tuesday: Bright at first but showers developing, turning cooler and breezier
Wednesday: Fairly repetitive but more persistent rain due in through the afternoon.
Thursday:The end of the week looks unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, and generally windy so Thursday provides a lull before the storm!
Friday: Probably strong winds possibly gale force and potentially a very wet and windy day.
Saturday: Not much better but the wind will begin to die down later in the day and lead to a period of calm.
Last week we were pleasantly surprised with dry and sunny, yet cold weather on the west coast. The weather gave us with the camera at hand many opportunities to catch the 'unreliable' weather and the many unique forms and shapes it creates - to be fair my camera could not do the view above any justice!
This week's West Coast Weather looks to continue the nice and dry days, with sunny spells and a continuing 'cold' breeze before a mildy wet weekend takes form on Friday.
Today: it is dry with sunny spells today, however it may become slightly cloudier during the afternoon with brisk north easterly winds developing. Tonight looks to be mainly cloudy but the cloud will thin at times to give a few clear interludes, otherwise a chilly evening.
Monday: looks to be mostly dry but rather cloudy with chance of sunshine across Argyll and the Isles.
Tuesday: is projected to be dry with sunny intervals.
Wednesday: looks to be dry at first but may becoming wet and windy later in the evening
Thursday: is projected to become drier again and slightly brighter
Friday: with easterly winds Friday looks to set the scene for the weekend with patches of rain and cloudy intervals.
Saturday: looks to continue Friday's patches of clouds and rain, yet with sunny spells throughout the day.
A sunny start coming to work this morning. Although a bit chilly, nothing beats walking out in the cold sunshine with the right clothes! Bring your autumn jacket, your base layer and a little scarf to Eriska and you are sorted for walking across the island taking pictures of the beautiful and scenic landscape the west coast of Scotland has to offer! Click the button below for more walks!
Last week's West Coast Weather was surprisingly sunny and offered many of us an opportunity to spend our afternoons and early evenings outside without a worry. Other evenings again almost looked a bit threatening - like the picture above - but nothing! It was staying humid and mild throughout the week before the colder wind caught up with us at Eriska at the beginning of the weekend! The coming week looks much the same with some patches of rain, cloudy and a few rays of sun with milder temperatures.
Today: it is quite cloudy at first with a little rain, but it looks to be dying out, becoming brighter later this morning with some sunshine this afternoon, best across Lanarkshire. Breezy with fresh south-westerly winds. Tonight: Most places will be dry at first. Patchy light rain will edge in from northwest to most places later tonight, but becomes heavy over north Argyll. Otherwise mild and breezy.
Monday: looks to be cloudy with further outbreaks of rain, heavy at times up towards Oban and Mull. Rain will be patchy elsewhere with drier, interludes, especially across Ayrshire and Lanarkshire. Fresh south-westerly winds.
Tuesday: is projected to be mainly dry and bright
Wednesday: looks to be turning colder with sunny spells and blustery showers. Strong north-westerly winds.
Thursday: looks to be mainly dry with sunny spells and winds becoming lighter, but clouding over in the evening.
Friday: Thursday's weather seems to linger leaving another mainly dry day with a few rays of sun otherwise cloudy.
Saturday: continues to stay dry, cloudy otherwise it looks to be a bit colder than earlier in the week.
Our West Coast Weather really offered Eriska's guests a beautiful and warm weekend! Surprising temperatures, sunny and bright evenings - what a way to end September when it started so cold and wet! The good weather looks to stay with us for tomorrow but is becoming slightly cloudy before we again get outbreaks of rain. Nevertheless we seem to have mild temperatures staying throughout the week.
This Evening: it is staying dry and fine this evening with some pleasant late sunshine. Tonight: continues o stay dry with long clear periods although some patchy hill fog forming. Breezy with quite strong easterly winds persisting across coasts and upland areas.
Monday: looks to become dry and bright with sunny intervals but cloud will tend to increase with the best of the sun over north Argyll. Brisk southeasterly wind, strong across many coasts and hills.
Tuesday: is projected to turn rather cloudy with some showery rain, mainly near the west coast.
Wednesday: looks to be cloudy and there will be some showers developing over the next few days.
Thursday: the rain looks to continue, but it looks to be staying mild and windy.
Friday: looks to be cloudy with a few showers but will have some sunny intervals. In the evening the showers will ease.
Saturday: the weather from Friday continues with some sunny spells during the day otherwise cloudy with small showers.
What do you have planned for October? Next week our October rates are running and we look forward to guests enjoying the log fire, reading books in our library bar and going for the afternoon stroll on the island before the evening is too dark and we welcome Bertie and the other badgers for milk and other goodies!